SÁNCHEZ MONEDERO, JAVIER, CAMPOY MUÑOZ, MARÍA DEL PILAR, Gutierrez, P. A. , Hervas-Martinez, C.
No
Appl. Soft Comput.
Article
Científica
2.81
1.592
01/09/2014
000338706600028
2-s2.0-84902657288
Sovereign rating has had an increasing importance since the beginning of the financial crisis. However, credit rating agencies opacity has been criticised by several authors highlighting the suitability of designing more objective alternative methods. This paper tackles the sovereign credit rating classification problem within an ordinal classification perspective by employing a pairwise class distances projection to build a classification model based on standard regression techniques. In this work the epsilon-SVR is selected as the regressor tool. The quality of the projection is validated through the classification results obtained for four performance metrics when applied to Standard & Poors, Moody's and Fitch sovereign rating data of U27 countries during the period 2007-2010. This validated projection is later used for ranking visualization which might be suitable to build a decision support system. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Ordinal regression; Ordinal classification; Country risk; Sovereign risk; Rating agencies; Financial crisis