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Paid and hypothetical time preferences are the same: lab, field and online evidence

Authors

BRAÑAS GARZA, PABLO ERNESTO, JORRAT, DIEGO ANDRÉS, ESPÍN MARTÍN, ANTONIO MANUEL, Sánchez A.

External publication

No

Means

Exp. Econ.

Scope

Article

Nature

Científica

JCR Quartile

SJR Quartile

JCR Impact

2.3

SJR Impact

2.293

Publication date

26/10/2022

ISI

000875190200001

Scopus Id

2-s2.0-85138962520

Abstract

The use of real decision-making incentives remains under debate after decades of economic experiments. In time preferences experiments involving future payments, real incentives are particularly problematic due to between-options differences in transaction costs, among other issues. What if hypothetical payments provide accurate data which, moreover, avoid transaction cost problems? In this paper, we test whether the use of hypothetical or one-out-of-ten-participants probabilistic—versus real—payments affects the elicitation of short-term and long-term discounting in a standard multiple price list task. We analyze data from a lab experiment in Spain and well-powered field and online experiments in Nigeria and the UK, respectively (N = 2,038). Our results indicate that the preferences elicited using the three payment methods are mostly the same: we can reject that either hypothetical or one-out-of-ten payments change any of the four preference measures considered by more than 0.18 SD with respect to real payments. © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Economic Science Association.

Keywords

BRIS; Field; Hypothetical vs. real payoffs; Lab; Online experiments; Time preferences

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