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Why do regional economies behave differently? A modelling approach to analyse region-specific dynamics along the business cycle

Authors

LASARTE LÓPEZ, JESÚS MIGUEL, CARBONERO RUZ, MARIANO, NEKHAY, OLEXANDR, RODERO COSANO, MARÍA LUISA

External publication

No

Means

Appl. Econ. Lett.

Scope

Article

Nature

Científica

JCR Quartile

SJR Quartile

JCR Impact

1.287

SJR Impact

0.4

Publication date

01/01/2021

ISI

000568924900001

Scopus Id

2-s2.0-85090936539

Abstract

Even though the evolution of regional economic activity is substantially explained by national/common economic shocks, regional economies can still engage in significant differential or divergent behaviours with regard to the national average across business cycles. In this article, we describe a modelling approach based on factor models that estimates differences in quarterly regional GDP levels and allows for the evaluation of the variables that best explain these differentials. To provide an example of the application of this approach, two Spanish regions are used: Andalusia and Catalonia. © 2020 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.

Keywords

difference indicators; dynamic factor model; GDP differential; real-time dataset; Regional economic activity