Título Ex-Ante Analysis of the Regional Impacts of the Common Agricultural Policy: A Rural-Urban Recursive Dynamic CGE Model Approach
Autores Espinosa, Maria , Psaltopoulos, Demetrios , Santini, Fabien , Phimister, Euan , Roberts, Deborah , Mary, Sebastien , Ratinger, Tomas , Skuras, Dimitris , Balamou, Eudokia , CARDENETE FLORES, MANUEL ALEJANDRO, Gomez y Paloma, Sergio
Publicación externa No
Alcance Article
Naturaleza Científica
Cuartil JCR 2
Cuartil SJR 1
Impacto JCR 1.228
Impacto SJR 0.849
Web https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84903538525&doi=10.1080%2f09654313.2013.786683&partnerID=40&md5=6e5c9b892bf21684ba202fd3cd560d97
Fecha de publicacion 01/01/2014
ISI 000337957200002
Scopus Id 2-s2.0-84903538525
DOI 10.1080/09654313.2013.786683
Abstract A recursive dynamic regional Computable General Equilibrium model is developed to assess the economic impacts of two Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) scenarios in six NUTS-3 (Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics) (NUTS-1: major socio-economic regions, NUTS-2: basic regions for the application of regional policies, NUTS-3: small regions for specific diagnoses) regions of the European Union (EU). The main goal of the analysis is to assess the scenario effects (change in production, prices, income, employment) in the rural and urban parts of these regions as well as on the different sectors. The two scenarios analysed are related to a 30% reduction in Pillar 1 (market measures and direct support to farmers) support and the introduction of an EU-wide flat rate level of Pillar 1 support complemented by a 45% increase in Pillar 2 (Rural Development Policy) funds. Results show that the overall gross domestic product effects are not significant, due to the relatively low importance of both the agricultural sector and CAP spending in the regional economies. However, impacts on the agricultural sector are quite important and differ according to the nature of the policy shock. Also, the structural characteristics of each case study influence the rural-urban and sectoral spillovers, including impacts on region-specific agricultural activity.
Palabras clave Common Agricultural Policy; computable general equilibrium analysis; economic impact; European Union; Gross Domestic Product; regional economy; spillover effect; Europe
Miembros de la Universidad Loyola

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