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Shifting Armington trade preferences: A re-examination of the Mercosur-EU negotiations

Autores

Philippidis, G. , Resano, H. , Sanjuan, A. I.

Publicación externa

No

Medio

Econ. Model.

Alcance

Article

Naturaleza

Científica

Cuartil JCR

Cuartil SJR

Impacto JCR

0.827

Impacto SJR

0.688

Fecha de publicacion

01/06/2014

ISI

000337852400003

Abstract

This paper examines the 'small share' problem inherent within the constant elasticity of substitution Armington specification. As a de facto research tool in the quantitative trade literature, this structural bias plagues the results of numerous multi-region CGE studies. Kuiper and van Tongeren (2006) proposed a fusion of gravity and CGE specifications to remedy said bias, which the current paper further develops. With a pervasiveness of 'small-share' examples on Mercosur-European Union trade owing to the latter's restrictive tariff regime, the results reveal that significant additional trade led gains to Mercosur under a potential preferential trade agreement when compared with the standard Armington treatment. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Palabras clave

Small shares; Armington function; International trade; Gravity equation; CGE models