Title Estimating the economic and social impact of conditional cash transfers from the Prospera Program in Mexico
External publication No
Means Eval Program Plann
Scope Article
Nature Científica
JCR Quartile 3
SJR Quartile 2
Web https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85161269446&doi=10.1016%2fj.evalprogplan.2023.102321&partnerID=40&md5=424b60c3da022d96d6c7b16c8b15cb97
Publication date 01/10/2023
ISI 001017810700001
Scopus Id 2-s2.0-85161269446
DOI 10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2023.102321
Abstract This research analyses the Prospera program\'s impact on poverty and income distribution through a computable general equilibrium model. It concludes that transfers to households have a positive impact on the Mexican economy but hide the real problem—the low wage share—that, in the long term, prevents poverty from worsening but does not reduce the population in poverty or inequality. In a scenario without transfers, neither the population in poverty nor the Gini Index decreases significantly. The results obtained lead to an understanding of some of the causes of the high rates of poverty and inequality in Mexico, which in turn have been perpetuated since the economic crisis of 1995. This allows the design of public policies in line with the structural needs of the economy, which combat the problem from the root that generates it, in order to contribute to the reduction of inequality in accordance with the UN Sustainable Development Goal 10. © 2023 Elsevier Ltd
Keywords article; economic aspect; economic crisis; Gini coefficient; household; human; income distribution; Mexico; poverty; public policy; sustainable development goal; wellbeing
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