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Shock determination in a two-stage decision-making model: The case of COVID-19 in Colombia

Authors

Acevedo, Rafael A. , Harmath, Pedro , Mora, Jose U. , PUENTE CASTRO, RAQUEL, Aponte, Elvis

External publication

No

Means

Manag. Decis. Econ.

Scope

Article

Nature

Científica

JCR Quartile

SJR Quartile

JCR Impact

2.2

SJR Impact

0.419

Publication date

01/09/2022

ISI

000738340600001

Abstract

The contributions of this paper are as follows: (a) proposing a two-stage model to study whether an event has temporary or permanent effects on the probability of choosing a good within a market basket that traditional decision theory cannot explain and (b) studying the effects of COVID-19 on consumers\' decisions in Colombia. Findings suggest that the pandemic has transitory effects on preferences in the short run. If it lasts longer, it could induce to permanent changes. Thus, this model can be used to analyze the temporary or permanent effects of any event, regardless of its nature or geographical region, on consumer\'s decision.

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